Monday, February 14, 2011

Harvard Prof. Niall Ferguson on Obama Foreign Policy Failure in Egypt

What's really scary is his correct historical analysis.
"And I want to emphasize the risks that are currently being run in that region. If you look at history, and remember I'm a historian, most revolutions lead not to happy, clappy democracies but to periods of internal turmoil, often to periods of terror, and they also lead to external aggression. Because the simplest way to mobilize people in a relatively poor and not very well educated country like Egypt is to point to the alleged enemy within and then, of course, the enemy abroad. The scenarios that the Israelis are looking at involve a transition not to some kind of peaceful and amicable democracy, but to a Muslim Brotherhood dominated regime which then pursues an aggressive policy towards Israel. This is not a zero probability scenario. This is a high probability scenario, and as far as I can see the president isn't considering it."
UPDATE: More complete transcript at Newsbusters.

H/T Greg Pollowitz

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