Tuesday, December 27, 2005

The Gift that Keeps on Giving

Exactly two months after conservative commentators defeated President Bush on the nomination of Harriet Miers, we have seen Republican congressmen in the Senate (55% Republican) and House (53% Republican) expressing their personal preferences in a similar manner:

1. The defeat of ANWR
2. The extension of the Patriot Act for ONE MONTH!!! Whoppee!

From The Seattle Times:

The House balked Thursday at a Senate plan to extend the Patriot Act by six months to give Congress and Bush more time to work out their differences, instead forcing the Senate and administration to accept an extension until Feb. 3.

At the same time, the House approved the defense bill that was shorn of a provision promoted by Sen. Ted Stevens, R-Alaska, that would have opened the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge to oil drilling.

. . .

Congress finished a year in which it rebuffed Bush on many of his top priorities and showed a new willingness to assert its prerogatives after four years during which the president largely dictated the terms and sought to expand executive power at the expense of the legislative branch. [emphasis mine]

. . .

The House action was a setback for Bush, who had repeatedly said he would not accept a "short-term extension."

Democratic lawmakers quickly hailed the House vote as a victory. Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid of Nevada said: "Democrats are happy with a one-month extension of the Patriot Act. We always said that we would accept a short-term extension to give negotiators time to get the final bill right."

From CNN:

Rep. James Sensenbrenner, R-Wisconsin, chairman of the House Judiciary Committee, trimmed the extension to one month Thursday and criticized the Senate for trying to "duck the issue until the last week in June."

. . .

Sensenbrenner said he would have preferred no extension at all. But he agreed to Thursday's bill to avoid a special session.
[emphasis mine]

So nice to see a major Republican congressman tell us that no security is better than some security.

Democrats are happy. Republicans are in disarray.

3. More and more bad press on the Alito nomination with the coming argument that he is too extreme because he lobbied for overturning Roe v. Wade.

Congratulations National Review, George Will, Peggy Noonan, Phyllis Schlafly, Ann Coulter and milder critics like Rush Limbaugh. Isn’t it nice to see everyone expressing their opinion without regard to the consequences on the nation?

Friday, December 09, 2005

Tribune Coverage of City Sewer Deal Stinks

In a long article Nick Budnick of the Portland Tribune gives Portland a pass on its massive sewage spills into the Willamette and other local waterways and its poor track record on meeting EPA clean water requirements.

The thrust of Budnick's article "Stink still rises in city sewer deal" is that rural Oregon Republicans complained to the EPA because farmers were "getting fined for letting a relatively small amount of cow feces . . . reach rivers" and "Portland was getting fined less for doing a lot worse." According to City Commissioner Sam Adams, the EPA then supposedly started to clamp down on Portland in order to "'curry favor with rural Republicans.'"

First, even if this is true, why should small violators like farmers who do little damage be fined when large violators get off simply because they have political clout? Isn't the real story that the City of Portland has used its political power to wiggle out of fines and lengthen the process of cleaning up its polluting infrastructure when farmers and other smaller polluters were never given the same consideration?

Second, reporter Nick Budnick only mentions in passing that Oregon's DEQ (under a Democratic state administration) hit Portland with major fines because of it recent massive sewage spills. (Note to Nick: Better check to see how much clout rural Republicans have on Oregon's DEQ.)

For years, to build the Big Pipe mandated by DEQ, the city shifted money away from maintenance. Lack of maintenance caused many of the clean-water violations that led DEQ to propose fining the city almost $500,000 last month.

Okay, let's get this straight. Portland had a sewage leak problem. So, it spent its money on a future project (the Big Pipe) instead of maintaining its present system. City officials (and the Tribune) seem to think that as long as you are working on a future fix for the sewage spill problem you didn't have to take reasonable steps to make sure that the present system is working properly.

Nick at the Tribune fails to mention in his article that because of Portland's negligence among other recent spills, Portland dumped 660,000 gallons of sewage into the Willamette River just in September and 511,000 gallons of sewage into Fanno Creek in October. Oops! A few cow feces and even high level industrial pollution sound good in comparison to that.

Unfortunately mentioning the severity of the City's DEQ problems would run counter to Nick's and the City Commissioners' thesis that Portland is being picked on by the EPA for political reasons rather than because they are the major polluter of Oregon's waters and are way behind on federal clean water standards. So, no real account is given of the DEQ violations.

Apparently both the EPA and the DEQ should give Portland a pass on its polluting behavior because, as Sam Adams, Commissioner in charge of the Bureau of Environmental Services, puts it:

"We are on the verge of ratepayer revolt. We are not a cash cow for them. We are trying to maintain jobs and businesses in the city of Portland."

I wonder if this argument will work for automakers, paper mills, and chemical plants--not to mention farmers and their cows.

Wednesday, December 07, 2005

Day of Infamy

"Yesterday, December 7, 1941 – a date which will live in infamy – the United States of America was suddenly and deliberately attacked by naval and air forces of the Empire of Japan."

. . .

"I believe that I interpret the will of the Congress and of the people when I assert that we will not only defend ourselves to the uttermost but will make it very certain that this form of treachery shall never again endanger us.

"Hostilities exist. There is no blinking at the fact that our people, our territory and our interests are in grave danger.

"With confidence in our armed forces – with the unbounding determination of our people – we will gain the inevitable triumph – so help us God."

Franklin D. Roosevelt
The White House
December 8, 1941

hear FDR’s speech

Pearl Harbor casualties: 2,402
9/11 casualties: 2,948

Truly the Greatest Generation!

Saturday, December 03, 2005

Never Forget

Thanks to Mike's America who pointed this link out from Cap'n Bob.

Wednesday, November 30, 2005

Murtha's Arguments for Withdrawal Revisited

"I believe we've done everything we can do. I believe we have become the enemy. And I'll tell you this: The Iraqis are not going to do the fighting unless we turn it over to them. They're going to let us continue." (Rep. John Murtha, November 17 interview)

In his interview with Margaret Warner on the Newshour with Jim Lehrer, Rep. John Murtha, cited three major reasons for immediate withdrawal of US troops from Iraq.

1. US forces have become the enemy and are the target.

My post of November 18th shows how flawed that reasoning is. The vast majority of people killed by the terrorist insurgency in Iraq have been Iraqis--not US forces. It is Iraqis who are the main target of the terrorists, not US forces.

2. Unless we pull out, the Iraqi forces will never assume responsibility for their own defense. (see opening quotation)

The refutation of point 2 ties in with point 1. If it were you (remember that the terrorists have specifically targeted Iraqi military and police), your family, and your friends who were being killed by terrorists, would you slack off? Because Iraqi forces have so much to gain personally from taking out the terrorists, they will come up to speed as rapidly as possible. They need help to do this--not pressure. Rep. Murtha apparently has a low view of Iraqis. If US troops are willing to risk their lives for Iraqis, how much more are Iraqi troops willing to risk their lives for their families and countrymen? But, the mainstream media doesn't report on their actions or heroism--or the actions or herorism of Coalition forces. The Multi-National Force - Iraq site is a good place to get more balanced news on Iraq.

3. Our being in Iraq is the reason for the terrorism there. There was no terrorism before we went in.

Rep. Murtha forgets about Saddam's terrorism--something the Kurds, lots of Shiites, and even some Sunnis do not forget.

But, in terms of the terrorism Murtha is talking about, it has long been the President's argument that we are fighting terrorism in Iraq so we won't have to fight it here in the US and suffer the consequences we did on 9/11. Our being in Iraq did not create terrorism. But, it is forcing the terrorists to focus their attacks and face a military force rather than their usual soft civilian targets. So, that terrorists are in Iraq where our troops are, is a good thing.

Sunday, November 27, 2005

One Month after Harriet Miers' Withdrawal

Mr. Broder says Bush got "rolled" by his own supporters in the Miers fiasco. But he did not. He got defeated by them. He made a bad choice, and they resisted. The White House fought back; conservative thinkers fought back even harder; Republican senators did not back the White House; the White House retreated, rethought and renominated. (Peggy Noonan, The Dean's Scream, November 3, 2005)

One month ago today conservative pundits like the folks at National Review, George Will and Peggy Noonan "defeated" the President, a majority of Republicans and a plurality of the conservative base. They did this via an intense media campaign directed at Harriet Miers that resulted in the withdrawal of her nomination.

They also changed conservative political parameters. This is what they lost us:

1. That elections matter, and the President has the right to choose which judicial nominees will get to a vote in the Senate. In the Miers case a small group managed to block the President's choice.

2. An up or down vote on every nominee. Not only did Harriet Miers not get an up or down vote, she didn't even get a Senate hearing.

3. That the majority should rule. The pundits represented the views of only a third of Republicans (31%) and conservatives (34%). But they claimed to speak for the base and "rolled" over not only the President, but 53% of Republicans and 44% of conservatives.*

In practical terms, they got us:

1. Sandra Day O'Connor's swing vote for an extra three months--maybe more.

2. A long, drawn out process for the Alito nomination.

3. Difficulty in criticizing any Republican Senator, not to mention a Democratic Senator, who doesn't feel that Alito (or any future nominee) would make a good Supreme Court justice.

4. Validation that a minority has a right to block a nomination. Certainly by trying the nominee in the press. Why not through a Senate filibuster?

5. Republican Senators, 42 of them, who didn't see what the big deal was in slapping at the President's policy on Iraq by approving an amendment “To clarify and recommend changes to the policy of the United States on Iraq and to require reports on certain matters relating to Iraq.”

Kind of a Pyrrhic victory?
*from the October 27 CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll on "Initial Reaction to Miers' Withdrawal":

Pleased 31%
Disappointed 53%

Pleased 34%
Disappointed 44%
Conservatives and Republicans are most likely to be disappointed. This suggests rank-and-file conservatives may have been less negative about the nomination than highly visible conservative pundits and columnists.

Tuesday, November 22, 2005

Clean and Safe Waters Are Just Too Expensive for Portland

Portland’s City Council has shown it’s lack of vision and administrative ability again. Because of Bureau of Environmental Services (BES) lapses, the City of Portland has been fined $449,800 for 67 sewage spills dumped into various local waterways over a period of four and a half years.

The City, and so-called water “activists”, have been campaigning against EPA regulations that would require Portland to keep it’s water safety levels up to federal standards. Apparently EPA standards are becoming more and more lax under the Bush administration except when it applies to Portland’s water quality where they're way too strict.

But Oregon’s Department of Environmental Quality (DEQ) has also found big problems with Portland’s sewage and water quality standards. The DEQ cited some of its concerns about Portland’s lax water quality management:
Oregon environmental law prohibits sewage overflows to state waters because sewage contains disease-carrying bacteria which are a threat to public health and the environment. Many of these discharges occurred during dry weather, when there was a greater likelihood of human contact with sewage in local streams and the Willamette. Sewage is also a significant water pollutant that can harm aquatic life and cause public waters to be unsuitable for recreation, commercial and agricultural uses.

The City in it’s own defense, pointed out that it just didn’t have enough money to maintain its sewage system and didn’t want to raise rates to make sure that local rivers, streams and creeks were protected from its sewage spills. The Oregonian quoted Sam Adams, Commissioner in Charge of Portland’s BES, as saying:
"It's unacceptable, but it's also unavoidable in some cases because we have an older system," Adams said. "Over the past few years, the bureau has been loathe to turn in a lot of requests for maintenance because we already have the highest sewer rates in the country."

Imagine what Commissioner Adams would say to a businessman or homeowner who asked to be excused from Portland BES standards because “our rates are already too high”. That sort of logic only seems to work if you’re the City of Portland, which, coincidentally, has enough public money to fund political campaigns for commissioner and mayor. Just not enough to keep massive sewage from spilling into public waterways.

Just last May the City Council voted to provide public money for primary and general election campaigns up to $350,000 for candidates for commissioner and up to $450,000 for mayoral candidates. They set aside $1.3 million for this. But they (and Commissioner Adams who voted for the campaign financing plan) can’t find enough to stop major sewage spills.

Adding insult to injury, the spills were due to negligence. The BES, far from being caught by surprise about the dumps, instead of fixing known problems, had rigged up an alarm system for a portion of pipe they suspected might break. Unfortunately, the alarm system didn’t work properly. And 660,000 gallons of sewage spilled into the Willamette River in September.

Fortunately for Portland (and the rest of the state impacted by Portland's waterways), the State DEQ noticed the City’s increasing negligence in maintaining its sewage system. Oregonian reporter Anna Griffin writes:
[Jeff Bachman of Oregon’s DEQ] said DEQ took action now because in the course of rewriting a city permit, the agency's staff noticed the mounting number of spills. Three spills of 300,000 gallons or more of sewage in the past three months also served as a red flag, he said.

Why the City Council and Commissioner Adams didn’t also see these major spills as a red flag is a major competence question.

Apparently the bad news will continue. The EPA, with it’s too strict standards, is considering fining Portland for the basically unfiltered water coming from its street runoff sumps. It is also concerned that Portland’s major effort to upgrade it’s water quality equipment (the Big Pipe) is not up to federal clean water standards. Poor Commissioner Adams can only whine:
"After all this expense and effort, they're raising questions about whether we're doing enough," said Adams, who will update his City Council colleagues in an executive session today. "This could potentially cost us hundreds of millions of dollars."

Well, aren’t clean and safe waterways worth it? I thought that was the point of the EPA, DEQ, and BES. If the City Council can get its priorities straight and get some competent leadership, maybe Portland will have a chance at reasonable water quality.

Saturday, November 19, 2005

Rep. Murtha and Redeploying the Target

In a November 17th interview with Margaret Warner on PBS's Newshour with Jim Lehrer, Representative John Murtha (Dem-PA) called on the US to "withdraw our troops immediately from that area" and "to return our troops -- I say to redeploy our troops out of Iraq." One of the major reasons he cited was that US troops are seen as "the enemy" and the "target".
REP. JOHN MURTHA: Margaret, let me just tell you this: The time has come when 80 percent of the Iraqi people are saying that they want us out of there, that 45 percent of the Iraqi people say that the United States -- it's justified to kill Americans. So you have a country that wants us out of there, and we've become the enemy. We are the target.

Has Congressman Murtha been following the news? Who is the main target in Iraq? In case he hasn't noticed, Iraqis are the main target.

Some Associated Press accounts:

November 19, 2005:
Bombings kill nearly 50 near Baghdad
BAGHDAD, Iraq — A suicide attacker killed at least 36 people and wounded 50 more in a Shiite funeral procession Saturday north of Baghdad, while a car bomb near a market just outside the capital killed 13 and wounded 21, police said.

September 14, 2005:
Scores die in Baghdad bombing
BAGHDAD, Iraq — At least 73 people were killed and 162 wounded early today after a suicide bomber detonated his vehicle near a group of construction workers in a Shiite district in northern Baghdad, Lt. Col. Moayad Zubair said.

August 18, 2005:
Deadly triple bombing stuns Iraq
The deaths of at least 43 Iraqis in the three linked car bombings yesterday brought an outpouring of grief and anger rarely shown on state television, as broadcasts for the first time focused solely on the violence and call-in shows allowed citizens to voice their sorrow and frustration.

The sequential attacks targeted a police station, then a crowded bus terminal where many Shiite Muslims were gathered and finally a hospital where many of the victims had been taken. Most of the victims were civilians.

June 26, 2005:
Multiple bombing attacks target police in Iraq, leave dozens dead
MOSUL, Iraq — Suicide bombers struck a police headquarters, an army base and a hospital around Mosul today, killing 33 people in a setback to efforts to rebuild the northwestern city's police force that was riven by intimidation from insurgents seven months ago.

Maybe Congressman Murtha should be calling for "redeployment" of Iraqis out of Iraq if he wants to end the violence there. Wake up Congressman Murtha!

Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Weapons of Mass Destruction: How Soon They Deny

The RNC has a great video on Democrats warning against the danger Saddam Hussein posed to the US--some in 1998 when they had access to all intelligence information.

Thanks to Mike's America!

Following is a transcription of the Democratic statements (emphasis mine):

former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright: Iraq is a long way from Ohio, but what happens there matters a great deal here. For the risk that the leaders of a rogue state will use nuclear, chemical or biological weapons against us or our allies is the greatest security threat we face, and it is a threat against which we must and will stand firm. (February 18, 1998)

President Bill Clinton: Or we take some ambiguous third route which gives him yet more opportunities to develop this program of weapons of mass destruction and continue to press for the release of the sanctions and continue to ignore the solemn commitments that he made. (February 17, 1998)

DNC Chairman and former Governor Howard Dean: There are such a thing as international outlaws. I’m not sure China is one, but I’m quite sure Iran and Iraq are. (January 31, 1998)

former National Security Advisor Sandy Berger: He will rebuild his arsenal of weapons of mass destruction, and some day, some way, I am certain he will use that arsenal again as he has ten times since 1983. (February 18, 1998)

Representative Nancy Pelosi: Saddam Hussein certainly has chemical and biological weapons. There’s no question about that. (November 17, 2002)

Senator Jay Rockefeller: There is unmistakable evidence that Saddam Hussein is working aggressively to develop nuclear weapons and will likely have nuclear weapons within the next five years. We also should remember we have always underestimated the progress that Saddam Hussein has been able to make in the development of weapons of mass destruction. (October 10, 2002)

Senator Joe Biden: We know he continues to attempt to gain access to additional capability including nuclear capability. There is a real debate how far off that is, whether it’s a matter of years or whether it’s a matter of less than that. And so there is much we don’t know. (August 4, 2002)

Senator Harry Reid: Saddam Hussein in effect has thumbed his nose at the world community and I think that the president is approaching this in the right fashion. (September 18, 2002)

Tim Russert: Do you believe we could have disarmament without regime change?
Senator Hillary Clinton: I doubt it. I can support the President. I can support an action against Saddam Hussein because I think it’s in the long term interests of our national security. (September 15, 2002)

former Senator John Edwards: Serving on the intelligence committee and seeing day after day, week after week briefings on Saddam’s weapons of mass destruction and his plans on using those weapons. He cannot be allowed to have nuclear weapons. It’s just that simple. (January 7, 2003)

Senator Evan Bayh: Bill, I support the President’s efforts to disarm Saddam Hussein. I think he was right on in his speech tonight. The lessons we learned following September the 11th were that we can’t wait to be attacked again, particularly when it involves weapons of mass destruction. So, regrettably Saddam has not done the right thing which is to disarm, and we are left with no alternative but to take action. (March 17, 2003)

Tuesday, November 15, 2005

Chickens Come Home to Roost

Mr. Broder says Bush got "rolled" by his own supporters in the Miers fiasco. But he did not. He got defeated by them. He made a bad choice, and they resisted. The White House fought back; conservative thinkers fought back even harder; Republican senators did not back the White House; the White House retreated, rethought and renominated. (Peggy Noonan, The Dean's Scream, November 3, 2005) (emphasis mine)

Today the Senate voted 79-19 for an amendment “To clarify and recommend changes to the policy of the United States on Iraq and to require reports on certain matters relating to Iraq.”

The amendment is a slap in the face to President Bush and our Iraq policy.

Conservative pundits like those at National Review, Peggy Noonan, and George Will have taught Republican senators not only how to “not back the White House” but how to “defeat” the president. Republicans in the Senate have shown themselves to be good learners. The conservative pundits’ chickens have come home to roost.

How long will it take for Republican Senators to unlearn these bad habits?

Republican yeas:
Allard (R-CO)
Allen (R-VA)
Bennett (R-UT)
Bond (R-MO)
Brownback (R-KS)
Burns (R-MT)
Chafee (R-RI)
Cochran (R-MS)
Coleman (R-MN)
Collins (R-ME)
Cornyn (R-TX)
Craig (R-ID)
Crapo (R-ID)
DeWine (R-OH)
Dole (R-NC)
Domenici (R-NM)
Ensign (R-NV)
Enzi (R-WY)
Frist (R-TN)
Grassley (R-IA)
Gregg (R-NH)
Hagel (R-NE)
Hatch (R-UT)
Hutchison (R-TX)
Lott (R-MS)
Lugar (R-IN)
Martinez (R-FL)
McConnell (R-KY)
Murkowski (R-AK)
Roberts (R-KS)
Santorum (R-PA)
Shelby (R-AL)
Smith (R-OR)
Snowe (R-ME)
Specter (R-PA)
Stevens (R-AK)
Sununu (R-NH)
Talent (R-MO)
Thomas (R-WY)
Voinovich (R-OH)
Warner (R-VA)

Bunning (R-KY)
Burr (R-NC)
Byrd (D-WV)
Chambliss (R-GA)
Coburn (R-OK)
Conrad (D-ND)
DeMint (R-SC)
Graham (R-SC)
Harkin (D-IA)
Inhofe (R-OK)
Isakson (R-GA)
Kennedy (D-MA)
Kerry (D-MA)
Kyl (R-AZ)
Leahy (D-VT)
McCain (R-AZ)
Sessions (R-AL)
Thune (R-SD)
Vitter (R-LA)

Thanks to Hugh Hewitt who is one of the few Conservative pundits who got it right in October and continues to lead the good fight in November.

Saturday, November 12, 2005

President Carter’s Dreams

In a November 3rd interview (broadcast November 5th on CSPAN), Brian Williams spoke with former President Jimmy Carter. The centerpoint of the interview was Carter’s new book, Our Endangered Values. The interview is interesting from a couple of standpoints.

First is Carter’s thesis that President George W. Bush’s administration is radically different from all presidential administrations that have gone before.

Here’s an example of the former President’s logic:
Historically our nation has believed, Republican and Democratic presidents have espoused, the proposition that our nation would go to war only if our security was directly threatened. That’s international law as well. That’s part of the United Nations and others to which we have subscribed. This administration has said: No. We will endorse a proposition of pre-emptive war. We will go to war if we feel that a foreign country houses a leader that is obnoxious to us . . . or if in the future that leader’s policies might endanger the United States. So, we reserve the right, ostentatiously demonstrated in Iraq to bomb the people of Iraq to launch our missiles and shells against Iraq and to invade Iraq when our security was not directly threatened.

One wonders if Carter remembers the war in Korea (in which he served)? Or the war in Viet Nam? Or the first war in Iraq? Or our participation in the war in Bosnia? How was the threat to our security “direct” in those wars/conflicts in a way that it isn’t in Iraq?

Carter’s dreamy analysis doesn’t clearly identify the radical difference between George W. Bush’s war policy and the war policy of previous administrations. He didn't mention the connection between Saddam's hatred of the US and the possibility of his using weapons of mass destruction (seen even by the UN) and cooperating with terrorists. Since 9/11 those dangers have become more palpable to Americans than distant dangers in Korea and Viet Nam were (not to mention the first war with Iraq and the military action in Bosnia).

The argument is well made that unless we had stood where we did in Korea and Viet Nam, Southeast Asia might well be communist and have delayed or stopped the fall of the Soviet Union. But, in terms of direct threats, 9/11-type terrorism now seen clearly in Iraq stands closer to the direct threat posed at Pearl Harbor than any other event in the last 60 years.

Second, in a different kind of dreamy analysis, Carter spoke on what he thought was keeping the Democrats out of power.

On Democrats and abortion:
I think it’s a mistake to wed the Democratic Party to freedom of choice and abortion. As I say in this book I have never believed that Jesus Christ would approve abortion unless the mother’s life or health was in danger or perhaps the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest. For those very few exceptions. And when I was president I had to live under Roe vs. Wade. It was my duty as a president. I did everything I could to minimize the need for abortions. I think for the Democratic Party to get identified as being completely pro-choice with no attention given to the rights of the fetus is a very self-defeating policy. And I hope we will get away from that.

On Democrats relating to religion:
And the other thing that was I think a mistake in 2004, not deliberate, I really believe that our nominees were uncomfortable in dealing with the deeply religious people in our country. I don’t mean the right wing, you know, Christian. I think there was a sense among many devout people, in my own church, my fellow churchmen, that John Kerry didn’t quite relate to us.

Carter said the next successful Democratic candidate has to make some changes. A winning platform would be:
We worship the Prince of Peace, not pre-emptive war.

We are moderate on the abortion issue.

We believe that marriage, by definition in a church, ought to be between a man and a woman, but we believe in full civil rights for gays who want to be partners.

We want to honor human rights around the world and civil liberties for Americans.

We want to protect our environment.

We want to have the tax situation in our country balanced between the wealthy and the poor.

We want to work toward balanced budget.

We want to have a strong defense but not use our military to attack other people gratuitously.

I think he is right that this kind of platform might well win the Democrats a majority in Congress as well as the Presidency. There are a lot of people who have been Democrats but have been driven from the party and from liberalism because of the crazies who have taken over. A liberal like John Kennedy would have no place in the party today–as Lyndon Johnson had no place in the party after 1968.

Isn't it kind of dreamy to think that the platform Carter suggests will be adopted by Democrats? How can Michael Moore, Howard Dean, NARAL, MoveOn.org and People for the American Way fit in with his proposed platform? Senator Zell Miller and Joe Lieberman (with the exception of the references to Jesus) could. But, we know what has happened to them. And countless others at the rank and file level have already left the Democratic Party–seeing it as a party of abortion and gay marriage, of wacky ideas on religious commitment in public life and religious expression in public schools, and which has a deep distrust of the military.

Some of the seeds of the Democratic demise can be seen in Carter’s own dreamy blend of personal and governmental morality. As much as he is admired for his work with Habitat for Humanity and attempts to stop the horrors happening in Sudan, President Jimmy Carter came up blank against a fairly mild (in today’s terms) form of terrorism during his own presidency. He could not find the answer to bringing our hostages home from Iran.

Unfortunately today’s Democrats share Carter’s weakness on how to deal with terrorism. Even worse they have also turned from his strength in understanding how Americans view morality and the importance of religious commitment.

Thursday, November 10, 2005

Good Analysis on Muslims Getting Fed Up with Muslims as Targets

Both George at Alamo Nation (Collateral Damage) and Tony at Always Right, Usually Correct (Finally some speak up) have good analyses on the rising rage regarding Al-Qaeda terrorism targeting Muslims in Jordan and Morocco. Now, if only Muslim outrage would spread to include Iraqi victims (and maybe even non-Muslims).

Words Matter

In "Oregon looks to neighbors' ballot results, reads tea leaves" about the impact on future Oregon elections of California’s defeat of four ballot measures, Oregonian reporter Jeff Mapes uses a strange formula to identify political protagonists in Oregon.

Democrats and union officials exulted at the defeat of Schwarzenegger measures aimed at curbing government spending and public employee unions. They said it would make it harder for conservative activists to pursue similar measures in Oregon.

Democrats and union officials are pitted against conservative activists.

Mapes follows that with a back-handed definition of conservative as far-right extremist via a quote from the chief lobbyist for the Oregon Education Association:

"It's a huge setback for the far-right extremist agenda," said Chip Terhune, chief lobbyist for the Oregon Education Association, the state's main teachers union. "They're going to have to do a reassessment after this debacle in California."

Mapes goes on to name people in each camp.

Democrats and union officials:
Chip Terhune, chief lobbyist for the Oregon Education Association
Penny Wentz of Our Oregon (a union-backed group)
Rebecca Green, spokeswoman for Naral Pro-Choice Oregon
Senate Majority Leader Kate Brown, Democrat from Portland

conservative activists:
Russ Walker, head of the Oregon chapter of Freedom Works
Gayle Atteberry, executive director of Oregon Right to Life

One would expect that Democrats and unions officials would be offset by Republicans and business leaders. Or that conservative activists would be balanced by liberal activists. Instead one gets a sort of apples and oranges designation where left political philosophy is not identified, but right political philosophy is.


At least part of the reason is the media’s longstanding refusal to distinguish liberal from far-left extremist. Thus, “liberal” (a perfectly respectable political position) has come to imply far-left extremist. Reports like the above do nothing to counter that tendency. In fact they encourage it by leaving the impression that no one wants to be designated as a “liberal”. Better to use the more philosophically value-free terms of “Democrat” or “union”. In contrast, people on the right seem to proudly wear the philosophical label of “conservative”.

Will “liberal” and “left” ever become value neutral, not to mention positive, terms again? Not with reports like the above which continue to tar them by refusing even to use them.

Saturday, November 05, 2005

Paris Riots: Wanna-Be Insurgency

The rioting near Paris has all the earmarks of a wanna-be insurgency–even though almost every news story mentions poor living conditions as the reason for the rioting. A recent AP report is no exception:

ACHERES, France - Youths armed with gasoline bombs fanned out from Paris' poor, troubled suburbs to shatter the tranquility of resort cities on the Mediterranean, torching scores of vehicles, nursery schools and other targets during a 10th straight night of arson attacks.

Police deployed a helicopter and tactical teams to chase down youths speeding from one attack to another in cars and on motorbikes. Some 2,300 police were brought into the Paris region to bolster security, France-Info said. More than 250 people were arrested.

The violence _ originally concentrated in neighborhoods northeast of Paris with large immigrant populations _ is forcing France to confront long-simmering anger in its suburbs, where many Africans and their French-born children live on society's margins, struggling with unemployment, poor housing, racial discrimination, crime and a lack of opportunity.
(emphasis mine)

The hit-and-run attacks on “resort cities” and soft targets (nursery school, paramedics, youth center) are more indicative of a desire to demonstrate muscle than of rage and frustration.

Most rioting has been in towns with low-income housing projects where unemployment and distrust of police run high. But in a new development, arsonists were moving beyond their heavily policed neighborhoods to attack others with less security, said a national police spokesman, Patrick Hamon.

"They are very mobile, in cars or scooters. ... It is quite hard to combat" he said. "Most are young, very young, we have even seen young minors."

There appeared to be no coordination between separate groups in different areas, Hamon said. But within gangs, he added, youths are communicating by cell phones or e-mails. "They organize themselves, arrange meetings, some prepare the Molotov cocktails."

France has not understood the importance of defeating terrorists in Iraq. French authorities and the press now seem to be avoiding the issue in France itself. At present the insurgency consists of ill-equipped youth who have not done the planning necessary for a real insurgency. But, French authorities need to come up to speed fast.

When residents of the area where the nursery school was burned asked for French army protection and suggested that they might form citizen groups to protect their neighborhood, their mayor said, "We are not going to start militias. You would have to be everywhere."

But the residents were smarter than the mayor. They saw that mere police action could not protect them. Police can’t be everywhere. Only the army or citizens themselves can come close to being “everywhere”. Rather than pooh-pooh the use of citizen groups, the French need to encourage citizen involvement.

Even more important the French need to get serious about the War on Terror and the impact of their failure to join the coalition of nations fighting Islamic terrorism. This a wake up call. The insurgency mind set has taken hold in the Paris suburbs. At present the insurgency is mostly inept–though with enough force and diversity to give French police more than they can handle. It’s time for the French to rethink their role in the War on Terror.

Friday, November 04, 2005

They Still Think They're The Only One's That Count

Hedgehog (Lowell Brown) documents more instances of anti-Miers commentators thinking the part (them) stands for the whole (all conservatives) in The World According to Broder, Noonan, and Blankley.

Everyone seems to be asking the question whether conservatives will support the President. Read the poll! That's not the question.

The real question is whether the main body of conservatives who were disappointed in Miers withdrawal can take seriously the pundits who continue to ignore them and the principles they support.

The comments section for Hedgehog's post is almost as illustrative as the post itself. There are a number of conservatives wondering if conservative pundits haven't joined the liberal chorus in branding the 44% of conservatives disappointed with Miers' withdrawal as non-thinking, stupid, easily led sheep. George Will's October 23rd column says it succinctly:

Such is the perfect perversity of the nomination of Harriet Miers, it discredits, and even degrades, all who toil at justifying it. Many of their justifications cannot be dignified as arguments. Of those that can be, some reveal a deficit of constitutional understanding commensurate with that which it is, unfortunately, reasonable to impute to Miers. Other arguments betray a gross misunderstanding of conservatism on the part of persons masquerading as its defenders.

Thursday, November 03, 2005

Ken Mehlman: from hard hits to bunts

The campaign by conservative pundits to stop the Miers nomination has set up a moral equivalence between conservatives and radical left groups. Recently the normally straight talking Ken Mehlman, Chairman of the Republican National Committee, almost had to resort to pleading the Fifth to avoid tarring the right along with the left.

On the November 1 Hardball with Chris Matthews instead of swinging for the fence, Mehlman was reduced to a bunt:

MATTHEWS: So you can‘t really criticize the lefty pressure groups when you say we‘re better off having all the pressure groups fighting.

MEHLMAN: I think it‘s fine to have people involved.

What I think we can do is we can discern whether what they‘re saying makes sense or not, on both sides.

MATTHEWS: So, it‘s OK for senators to be accosted by these left-wing and right-wing groups, these pro-choice and pro-life groups, right before they vote.

Told if you vote against our issue on this, if you try to have an open mind and vote independently on this, you‘re finished in the next election. That‘s OK with you?

MEHLMAN: I think it‘s OK for anybody to say whatever they want to a senator. The senator has to make a judgment and the voters have to answer that.

MATTHEWS: I think that I was hearing you come out against these pressure groups.

MEHLMAN: Well, I think these pressure groups—as I said, the public has to consider what they‘re saying in context. But, do I think they shouldn‘t be in Washington? They don‘t have a right to free speech? Absolutely not.

MATTHEWS: So, you like the way it‘s done right now?

MEHLMAN: Well, I think it‘s unfortunate that you have some of the folks doing what they‘re doing. But, I think the result is what you‘re seeing from the Democrats. You‘re seeing the twisting of a Ted Kennedy. You‘re seeing a Harry Reid.
(emphasis mine)

Compare that to what Mehlman was able to say pre-Miers:

The American people understand that Judge Roberts is a superbly qualified, fair-minded judge, and that he will make a Supreme Court justice we can all be proud of. Someone needs to remind Senators Kennedy and Leahy that their constituents are the American people, not far-left third party groups in Washington. Democrats such as Senator Byrd, Senator Nelson of Nebraska, Senator Pryor of Arkansas, Senator Salazar of Colorado and Senator Landrieu in Louisiana should be far less concerned with appeasing the extremist fringe and instead focus on doing the job Americans elected them to do. (emphasis mine)

The anti-Miers campaign has eviscerated the conservative and Republican arsenals on this issue. Poor Ken Mehlman is just one of the first examples of sending our guys out there without a batting helmet and the ability to hit away at the issues.

Wednesday, November 02, 2005

Opinion Links

I've added some opinion links.

Mark Steyn is one of the best (and funniest) of the younger commentators. Steyn's weekly column is at the Chicago Sun-Times.

WFB is just the best. Buckley's columns are at National Review.

William Rusher was NR's publisher for 31 years. He's brilliant and fights with class, like a gentleman. Rusher's columns are found at WorldNetDaily.

Tuesday, November 01, 2005

Rumsfeld Continues to Impress

Donald Rumsfeld’s news briefing today noting the great strides being made in Iraq is a reminder both of the good news that so rarely gets reported and the quality of people President Bush has working in his administration.

In just a minute or two Rumsfeld cited facts pointing to progress being made in Iraq including 1 million more voters, with many more Sunni voters, participating in the recent election than participated previously.

This guy is exciting in a solid kind of way, like Dick Cheney. Even in what appears to be a mere reciting of facts, he presents his case in a way that makes you sit up and take notice. He rarely gets ruffled, and just keeps doing his job with diligence and integrity. I’d love to see a draft Rumsfeld movement in 2008.

All the Facts that Fit

Just heard Ann Coulter on Fox crowing that it was the conservatives who made the President back down on Miers. Neither the two hosts nor her liberal opponent questioned that.

Sigh. I guess all conservatives will now be tarred with the campaign against Miers because it is not in the self-interest of major conservative commentators to make the distinction that they represented/convinced only a minority of conservatives. And the left is more than willing to lump all conservatives together in this sad affair.

Has anyone found any major commentator (preferably conservative, but I’ll even take a liberal at this point) who has noted the Gallup Poll figures that correctly depicted the conservative reaction?

Monday, October 31, 2005

At Least It Wasn't National Review

About the Alito nomination Hugh Hewitt notes:

I am astonished that Democrats and the lefty groups are already on the attack against the son of an immigrant and a public school teacher.

The good news is at least it wasn't National Review this time.

Samuel Alito seems to be a great choice. I look forward to the confirmation hearings.

George at Alamo Nation (Bush to Alito: "Samachu, I Choose You!") and Mike at Mike's America (October 31 posting) have fun both supporting Alito and poking at those who found lots of reasons to be against the President's last pick. I especially like Mike's photo of Alito's family standing in front of President Clinton's(!) portrait as a telling signal.

Mike also has an interesting post (October 30) about the possible basis for David Frum's intense campaign against Miers. Frum is now calling for Miers to be fired from her position in the White House even though no one, including Frum, ever indicated that she wasn't great in that position.

Frum's reasoning is:

It is clearly not sustainable for Harriet Miers to keep her job as White House counsel - an uncomfortable situation for all concerned. (OCT. 30, 2005: BAD WEEK)

Fortunately, Frum is not (yet) uncomfortable with Dick Cheney or Karl Rove (both of whom supported Miers). I wonder if anyone at NR will respond to Frum’s over-the-line personal pettiness.

So far I haven't heard of any anti-Miers critics admitting that they spoke for only a minority of conservatives. Is that sort of humble honesty too much to hope for?

But, it's time to allow them back in the trenches to fight for the President's nominees--even if it isn't quite kiss-kiss, hug-hug.

UPDATE: Though not directly taking Frum to task, both Andy McCarthy and Kathryn Jean Lopez of NR’s The Corner today underlined Miers’ professionalism and service in helping pick Alito.

The Wall Street Journal reports this morning that White House Counsel Harriett Miers was with the President over the weekend, helping him sort through the available choices and settle on a nominee for the Supreme Court seat that was dangled before her up until her honorable withdrawal last week.

That had to be a very hard thing to do, but judging from the apparent choice, she did it with her characteristic professionalism.

I don't know her, but she sure sounds like a class act. The President and the country should be grateful for her service. (Andy McCarthy)

She does strike you as gracious and uber-professional. And yeas, served her country well when all was said and done. The Saturday Night Live sketch on her annoyed me for exactly those reasons (among others). She strikes you as someone who didn't ask to be a SCOTUS judge, didn't ask to be outside the behind the scenes...hope her 15 minutes on Jay Leno, etc. is way over. (Kathryn Jean Lopez)

Good for them!

Saturday, October 29, 2005

The Failure of the Conservative Pundits

What is perhaps most striking in the Gallup Poll numbers on Miers’ withdrawal regards the failure of conservative pundits. In spite of the three week campaign waged by a majority of conservative pundits against Miers, a clear majority of conservatives either were unsure (22%) or disappointed (44%) by her withdrawal. With all that fire power why did the pundits only garner 34%?

It’s clear that there was a major disconnect between the pundits and the conservative base. I can’t remember a time when the pundits were so united and the base was so resistant. (If any one has other examples, I would like to hear of them.)

One could make the caustic observation that the President understood his base better than the pundits, but more helpful is to note how fragile the nomination process is and how fragile the connect between pundit and rank and file might be.

The fragile nature of the nomination process in the Senate (where 40% can block a nomination) was mirrored in the conservative movement (where 34% blocked a nomination). Is the withdrawal of the Miers nomination a victory for the pundits on the order that the filibuster has been a victory for the Democrats? A nay-saying victory?

The fragile nature of the connect between pundit and rank and file may be a one-time problem because of the difficult nature of the withdrawal issue. The pundits were perceived by many as arguing against the position they had championed for years. They had their reasons but were unable to communicate those reasons well enough to win a plurality, let alone a simple majority.

Part of the problem was that anti-Miers pundits had only wisps and strands of argument. Their analysis was based on phrases (not full blown arguments) that Miers had written or spoken years before, on a lack of judicial or political writings, and the assumed disconnect between being a lawyer and counsel to the President and being a good Supreme Court Justice. The argument was almost from silence.

Another problem was the very idea of not giving a nominee a fair hearing. That went against common justice. Many conservative pundits argued that Miers should not even be given a hearing. And, of course, she was not. But the reasons for not getting a hearing were not immediately understandable to many conservatives. That she might do a poor job of presenting her case and embarrass herself and the President did not seem a compelling enough justification to deny Miers the opportunity for self-defense. If there were more substantial arguments, they were not clearly communicated.

The real question is not whether the President can get his base behind him. Apparently, it was there all the time. The real question is whether the pundits have damaged themselves to the extent that they cannot help muster the conservative unity and fervor needed to break filibusters against future nominees--not to mention defang attempts at borking.

Thanks, Hugh Hewitt!

The leader of the fight for fair hearings on Harriet Miers' nomination has been Hugh Hewitt. He has pressed his case while giving leading proponents urging her withdrawal an open microphone on his talk show to state their views. In fact, Hugh has probably given more time on his show to the anti-Miers position than his own pro-Miers position.

You can find a finely articulated summary of Hugh's argument in his op ed Why the Right Went Wrong in yesterday's New York Times.

Since some may have to register with NYT to view the op ed, I will try to summarize the main points for those who don't like the idea of registering.

1. The "up or down vote on presidential nominations" had a key role in electing the majority the Republicans now have in the Senate. But the fierce campaign by conservative pundits for Miers to be withdrawn has made it difficult to continue using the "winning argument: that Democrats have deeply damaged the integrity of the advice and consent process."

2. The use by the right of tactics previously used exclusively by the left ("exaggeration, invective, anonymous sources, an unbroken stream of new charges, television advertisements paid for by secret sources") has made it hard to effectively criticize those tactics in future nominations.

3. Fortunately not all conservative pundits used those tactics and no Republican senator called for Miers' withdrawal. Thus, there is still a basis for the continuing fight for a fair nomination process. "But the Democrats' hand has been strengthened."

4. Because it worked in Miers' case, the next nominee, no matter how well qualified, "will face an instant and savage assault." The ground has also been laid for a filibuster justified by "special circumstances". And how many good candidates will refuse to subject themselves to the withering critique sure to come?

A White House counsel with distinguished credentials was compared to Caligula's horse and Barney the dog on National Review's Web site. George Will denounced as "crude" those evangelicals who thought Ms. Miers's faith was a good indication of character in a nominee and a hopeful sign on issues involving the unborn. She was labeled a crony before lunch on the day of her nomination by scores of commentators. Attacks on her competence within the White House followed immediately. She never had a chance, really.

5. The criticism of Miers' lack of judicial experience has set a standard in favor of appointing only judges that is not in the constitution. Even though some of Miers' critics say they would support someone without judicial experience, after this defeat no president will want to take that risk.

6. The leaders of the anti-Miers' camp were two blogs, National Reviews' The Corner and ConfirmThem.com.

They unleashed every argument they could find, and the pack that followed them could not be stopped. Even if a senator had a mind to urge hearings and a vote, he had to feel that it would call down on him the verbal wrath of the anti-Miers zealots.

7. "It will be the lasting glory or the lasting shame of The Corner and others involved in driving Ms. Miers from the field, depending on what happens" in terms not only of the next nominee, but the nominees that follow, the coming senate campaigns and the 2008 presidential election.

8. "This triumph of the conservative punditocracy will have lasting consequences, and I hope my fears are misplaced." The first consequences may come in the parental notification case to be argued before the Supreme Court in late November--with Justice Sandra Day O'Connor probably casting one of her last votes.

Kudos to Hugh for presenting an articulate case for the sort of nomination process the constitution envisions and for warning of the consequences of using the "ends justify the means" strategy followed by some in the anti-Miers camp.

Friday, October 28, 2005

Intemperate Rhetoric

The Hedgehog Blog - It's All About Decency, Folks
Alamo Nation - Reaction to Miers Bow Out
The Anchoress - Harriet, Bring the Cannoli!

have good analyses of how some conservative critics of Miers have damaged themselves by their intemperate rhetoric.

It’s hard to rebuild a damaged reputation (ask Clarence Thomas and Harriet Miers). But, the job is even harder when you damaged it yourself.

Whoever digs a pit will fall into it,
And he who rolls a stone will have it roll back on him.

Proverbs 26:27

Speaking for the Base

Interesting that the recent Gallup poll on Harriet Miers’ withdrawal indicates that more conservatives were disappointed by the Miers withdrawal than were pleased and that a majority of Republicans were disappointed.

Looks like the part of the conservative base that anti-Miers pundits were speaking for stood shoulder to shoulder with moderate and liberal Democrats. Politics makes strange bedfellows.

Initial Reaction to Miers' Withdrawal

Pleased - Disappointed
42% - - - - - 35% - - - TOTAL SAMPLE

34% - - - - - 44% - - - Conservatives
45% - - - - - 33% - - - Moderates
55%* - - - - 25%* - - Liberals

31% - - - - - 53% - - - Republicans
39% - - - - - 33% - - - Independents
55% - - - - - 25% - - - Democrats

47% - - - - - 32% - - - Men
38% - - - - - 37% - - - Women

*Small sample size

Thursday, October 27, 2005

Savaging Nominees and Presidents

What a sad day. Another nomination has been shot down before coming to a vote. This time due to pressure from some conservatives.

We seem to be veering further and further away from government by elected officials to government by special interest groups.

Some, crowing over Miers’ withdrawal, see a rejuvenated conservative base. What I see is deepening distrust. The arguments raised at times were mere sneers savaging both Miers and President Bush.

“childless” - Phyllis Schlafly

“neither the inclination nor the ability to make sophisticated judgments” - George Will

“While Bush was still boozing it up in the early ‘80s” - Ann Coulter

". . . I fully expect that if Justice Stevens retires, President Bush will nominate his dog Barney to fill that vacant seat. After all, who can a man trust to be loyal more than his dog? I reckon the president knows Barney's heart as well as anybody's, and certainly Barney has no paper trail, unless you count stuff he chewed up when he was a puppy. Besides, if Caligula can put his horse in the Senate..." - Rod Dreyer, National Review Online - The Corner

"Many leaders come from nowhere before rising to the top. Ronald Reagan went to Eureka College; Richard Nixon went to Whittier College; Abraham Lincoln went to no college. Ms. Miers had as many advantages as these men, or more. She only has fewer achievements." - Richard Brookhiser

The anti-Miers campaign even took out TV ads. It’s obvious that Supreme Court nominations are now considered a 3-ring circus by people on both ends of the political spectrum.

Count me out. I still believe in the constitutional process. President nominates. Senate gives advice and consent. Only special circumstances: the nominee has ethical or moral problems. Otherwise, it’s an up or down vote in the Senate. My view on that doesn’t shift with the nominee or the president.

I don’t see hugs and kisses all around. I see a deeply fractured conservative base wondering what rules and values are central to the nomination process, a president wounded by his supposed friends, and Democrats rejoicing that they didn’t have to do anything to look good.

Wednesday, October 26, 2005

We Need Better Justice

A group called Americans for Better Justice is airing an anti-Miers ad.

The ad, though better in tone than the NARAL ad that had to be withdrawn, is really without content. At least Better Justice didn't put in a downright lie like NARAL. But, then that's a pretty easy bar to clear when you don't put in any facts at all about Miers.

Instead Better Justice includes short quotes from Robert Bork and Rush Limbaugh that merely say they don’t support the Miers nomination. The gist of the message is: We support the President. We don’t support this nominee--and neither does Robert Bork or Rush Limbaugh! Therefore, you shouldn’t either.

It is a bit unusual to support a person, but oppose their positions. Sort of like supporting the troops but hoping they do badly in Iraq. But, what Better Justice wants to make clear is that they are not using this as a Bush-bashing technique. I'm not sure how relevant that is given that the impact of a political defeat coming from one's friends is arguable more devastating that an defeat by one's enemies.

Strangely Better Justice presumes that viewers will follow Limbaugh and Bork without hearing a single fact put forward. For decades liberal critics of Limbaugh have said his listeners are politically naive or stupid because they blindly follow everything Limbaugh says. Rush and his listeners make fun of that presumption. You can hear it every time a caller starts out with "mega-dittoes".

Besides playing to a knee jerk reaction among conservatives, Better Justice adds insult to injury by claiming to speak for conservatives. Last time I checked there were lots of diverse opinions among conservatives–even on the Miers nomination. Maybe Better Justice will give us better justice by withdrawing the implication that they speak for all conservatives. Now that’s a withdrawal we might all be able to agree on.

For more on this, see the Alamo Nation blog.

Monday, October 24, 2005

The Truth Laid Bear Miers Poll

Since The Truth Laid Bear blog is trying to tote up bloggers for, against, and neutral on the nomination of Harriet Miers, here’s my point of view.

I support the Miers nomination because I am a strict constructionist of the Constitution. Article II, Section 2 says:

He [the President] shall have power, by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, to make treaties, provided two thirds of the Senators present concur; and he shall nominate, and by and with the advice and consent of the Senate, shall appoint ambassadors, other public ministers and consuls, judges of the Supreme Court, and all other officers of the United States, whose appointments are not herein otherwise provided for, and which shall be established by law: but the Congress may by law vest the appointment of such inferior officers, as they think proper, in the President alone, in the courts of law, or in the heads of departments. [emphasis mine]

The President has the right to nominate Supreme Court justices. President Bush has done that. Now it is the right of the Senate to give “advice and consent”. That has not happened yet. I want to see the constitutional process followed.

There are three more reasons I support the nomination. The first is on a purely “fair is fair” basis.

1. Miers has not has not had a chance to defend herself (and the President). If she is forced out now, there is no way to redeem her (or the President’s) reputation. Stopping the process now will in effect say that she is not good enough and will bring into question the President’s ability to fulfill his constitutional responsibility. To tar someone and not let them respond is at the least unfair if not downright unethical.

The other two have political implications.

2. Forcing the withdrawal or defeat of the nomination, will weaken both President Bush and the Republican majority (which already has had significant problems in doing anything substantive). Governing is hard enough now. Imagine what it will be like if President Bush takes a major hit from both “supporters” and opponents. One thing you have to say about the Democrats is that when their President was caught lying under oath they went to the mat for him–and are still doing it. Heard Michael Moore on the subject? And that was lying under oath! Clinton’s presidency was weakened, but not because of the Democrats.

3. It makes all the previous conservative furor over Republican unity so much hypocrisy. If conservatives can oppose Harriet Miers, why couldn’t Sen. Voinovich oppose John Bolton? Or why be upset with the fourteen who defused the constitutional option? Or with Sen. Specter being chairman of the Judiciary Committee? The sad fact is that Specter has been more supportive of the president’s nominees than conservatives have. If conservatives can break ranks, then everyone else has the same right.

If you don’t like a nominee, fine. But then don’t expect others to support your nominee, or bill, or position if that’s not what they feel.

There are a lot of positives to encouraging diversity of opinion. Political effectiveness is not one of them. Ronald Reagan’s 11th commandment (“Thou shalt not speak ill of a fellow Republican.”) showed how closely his political wisdom was intertwined with his conservative principles. Too bad some who invoke his name, don’t take his counsel.

Friday, October 21, 2005

The Supreme Court, Common Sense and Super-Nerds

It was Bill Buckley (my mentor in matters political) who praised the good sense of common people by writing that he would rather "live in a society governed by the first two thousand names in the Boston telephone directory than in a society governed by the two thousand faculty members of Harvard University." (Rumbles Left and Right)

But common sense has taken a beating this week.

The usually thoughtful Jed Babbin, filling in this week for Hugh Hewitt, responded with a surprising lack of common sense to a caller. The caller pointed out that Republican senators had voted to confirm Justice Ginsburg despite disagreeing with her personal views and knowing she was not a strict constructionist.

They voted for her because they believed that Article II of the Constitution gave President Clinton the right to nominate justices who shared his judicial and political views. The caller’s question was: Shouldn’t Republicans give a Republican president at least as much leeway in approving his nominee as they gave a Democratic president? Babbin responded that at least we knew where Ginsburg stood. We don’t know where Miers stands. Huh? Better to vote for a candidate you know is opposed to your judicial philosophy than to vote for a candidate who may be for it?

Common sense took another hit when Ann Coulter decried it as not being a fit attribute for Supreme Court justices. From her October 19 column:

Common sense is the last thing you want in a judge! The maxim "Hard cases make bad law" could be expanded to "Hard cases being decided by judges with 'common sense' make unfathomably bad law."

It was "common sense" to allow married couples to buy contraception in Connecticut. That was a decision any randomly selected group of nine good bowlers might well have concurred with on the grounds that, "Well, it's just common sense, isn't it?"

But when the Supreme Court used common sense — rather than the text of the Constitution — to strike down Connecticut's law banning contraception, it opened the door to the Supreme Court rewriting all manner of state laws. By creating a nonspecific "right to privacy," Griswold v. Connecticut led like night into day to the famed "constitutional right" to stick a fork in a baby's head.

Leaving aside the fact that Griswold did not appeal to common sense as a basis, let alone the primary basis, for a right to privacy, Coulter used a not so logical sleight of hand to link common sense and “stick[ing] a fork in a baby’s head”.

Her argument was that the Supreme Court used common sense to find a right to privacy. The Court later used the right to privacy as the basis for upholding partial-birth abortions. Therefore, common sense is to be blamed for recognition of a right to partial-birth abortion.

One could restate the logical fallacy in simplistic terms: Dogs are animals. Animals include ducks. Therefore, dogs are ducks.

Dogs aren’t ducks, and partial-birth abortion is not common sense. Rather, it is exactly the legal “super-nerd” Coulter admires who might find a nexus between a right to privacy and partial-birth abortion. It would not be the result of the average American’s common sense judgment.

One of the finest moments in John Roberts' Senate confirmation hearings was about as common sense as it gets. Roberts said:

If the Constitution says that the little guy should win, then the little guy's going to win in the court before me. But if the Constitution says that the big guy should win, well then the big guy's going to win because my obligation is to the Constitution.

That’s a position the first 2,000 people from any city's telephone book could understand. It’s not the legal super-nerd who came out shining in the Roberts hearings, but a Chief Justice who has a rock solid common sense understanding of how to decide cases that come before him.

Tuesday, October 18, 2005

Politicizing (and Trivializing) the Oregon Constitution

Last week Marion County Judge Mary James added to politicizing the Oregon constitution. She found Measure 37, a land compensation law passed by 60% of Oregon voters in 2004, unconstitutional.

This is one of several slaps to Oregon voters issued by Oregon courts in recent years. This kind of ruling gives the clear message that initiative petitions should be framed as constitutional amendments rather than state measures. Otherwise they are more likely to face defeat in the courts whatever the outcome at the ballot box. This trivializes the Oregon Constitution. It becomes more and more a compilation of state laws and codes rather than the ruling legal framework a constitution was meant to be.

Judge James ruled that Measure 37 was unconstitutional because it favored land owners who bought their property before land use regulations were enacted thus violating equal protection by applying different standards to different property owners. She also ruled that it was unconstitutional in restricting the power of the legislature to make rules to protect public health, welfare and safety.

According to this ruling tons of Oregon statutes and regulations must be unconstitutional.

1. Applying different standards. The tax code is riddled with different standards based on, oh, if you own a home, are married, give to non-profit organizations, are disabled, elderly, have dependents, etc. This doesn’t even touch the Multnomah County income tax which doesn’t apply to PERS retirement earnings but does apply to other retirement earnings.

Then there are DEQ vehicle standards which only apply to people who live in certain areas – as do most land use planning laws.

What is strangest of all is that Judge James seems to be saying that the measure would have been constitutional only if it had effectively done away with all land use planning by requiring compensation to every property owner. I’m sure there are lots of property owners who might agree with that. But, the framers of the initiative and the voters who approved it thought limiting the claims on local government to those owners who bought their property without any possibility of knowing that their use would later be restricted were the ones most entitled to compensation for their loss.

2. Restricting the power of the legislature. This is a “one size fits all” argument. One could reasonably argue that the entire Oregon Constitution, with the possible exception of parts of Article IV Legislative Department, is unconstitutional in restricting the power of the legislature to make rules which might protect public health, welfare and safety. But, those rules would be at the expense of personal liberty, or the powers of the Executive branch, or even the Judicial branch.

The fear that Oregon courts might rule a mere measure passed by initiative petition unconstitutional is one reason the policy establishing marriage in Oregon as being between one man and one woman was sent to the voters as a constitutional amendment (Article XV, Section 5a) rather than a normal state measure.

Judge James’ ruling is not the first step towards trivializing the Oregon Constitution and the “Oregon System” (referendum, initiative and recall) by finding inventive ways of striking down initiative petition measures and constitutional amendments passed by the people.

The Oregon Supreme Court struck down Measure 40, a crime victims' rights amendment passed in 1996, because it included more than one change to the Oregon Constitution. Any change to the state constitution must be restricted to a "single-subject". The Court found that Measure 40, though not "expressly" changing more than one part of the Oregon Constitution, "implicitly" touched other parts of the constitution. Thus, it was unconstitutional.

The trouble with that, of course, is that almost all constitutional amendments implicitly impact other parts of the constitution. If nothing else, they can be seen both to touch on whatever article and section they expressly address as well as implicitly impact the global Section 33 of Article I:

Section 33. Enumeration of rights not exclusive. This enumeration of rights, and privileges shall not be construed to impair or deny others retained by the people.—

One might even say that since Section 33 expressly alludes to all the other areas it is unconstitutional.

What the ruling against Measure 40 did was to warn that any amendment to the Oregon Constitution that had any complexity (such as the first amendment to the US Constitution has), might be found unconstitutional. In dealing with any issue, no matter how complex, the simplest of wording has the best chance of being found constitutional. Thus, the one-man-one-woman definition of marriage is composed as directly and simply as possible.

Section 5a. Policy regarding marriage. It is the policy of Oregon, and its political subdivisions, that only a marriage between one man and one woman shall be valid or legally recognized as a marriage.

Can't get much simpler than that. Still there are challenges to its constitutionality because it implicitly impacts more than one section of the Oregon Constitution.

What a pity to push the Oregon Constitution toward being an ever growing number of statutory codes because judicial interpretation has become a political “gotcha” game.

One plays the political game by the rules set down. In finding new parameters, which are not applied evenly to all amendments, laws and codes, Oregon judges are constructing a political playing field which both politicizes and trivializes the Oregon Constitution and the courts themselves.

Saturday, October 15, 2005

Harriet Miers, Federalist #66, and the Importance of Process

The most discouraging part of the criticism against Harriet Miers is that it is being made with so little evidence on the table. There have been no hearings yet.

Some don’t want the hearings to even happen. They want the nominee withdrawn before she has a chance to be evaluated by the Senate (and the country). That isn’t fair and it isn’t good politics.

It’s one thing to withdraw a nomination because they nominee has been shown to have legal, ethical or professional problems. This has been the usual standard in the past for withdrawing a presidential nomination. Even so, the list of cabinet nominees withdrawn is pretty short (most of the nominees withdrawn in recent times coming in the Clinton administration.)

It is even shorter for Supreme Court nominees. Except for John Roberts (whose nomination was withdrawn to be associate justice in order to nominate him for chief justice) and Abe Fortas (who already an associate justice had his nomination to be chief justice withdrawn), you have to go way back to President Ulysses Grant to find the next most recent supreme court nominee withdrawn.

In other words, it isn’t a common event to have a high level presidential nominee withdrawn, let alone a supreme court nominee. To ask for it now, in the absence of scandal or improper conduct, is to further politicize the court nomination process. It also sullies a nominee’s reputation and name for unexamined reasons. If Harriet Miers’ nomination is withdrawn, in what forum can she reasonably be expected to give evidence to the nation of her character and competence?

To not like a nominee for this or that reason is a fair basis for asking one’s senator to reject a nominee. But, it’s not wise or right to ask that a nominee be withdrawn before his or her merits can even be considered. The framers thought merit should be the measure for a nominee. (Federalist #66*) They believed the “advice and consent” procedure in the Senate would be a reasonable way to measure merit. Their position has been, if not glowingly confirmed, at least substantively confirmed by the nomination process for the last two centuries.

It is right to be wary of someone we don’t know yet. There are lots of questions that should be answered even by people we think we know. That’s why there is a confirmation process. But, if the argument turns to rejecting the very process of evaluation for this or that nominee (except under exceptional circumstances of scandal or demonstrated professional incompetence), the Republic, as well as the nominee, is in trouble.

*It will be the office of the President to NOMINATE, and, with the advice and consent of the Senate, to APPOINT. There will, of course, be no exertion of CHOICE on the part of the Senate. They may defeat one choice of the Executive, and oblige him to make another; but they cannot themselves CHOOSE they can only ratify or reject the choice of the President. They might even entertain a preference to some other person, at the very moment they were assenting to the one proposed, because there might be no positive ground of opposition to him; and they could not be sure, if they withheld their assent, that the subsequent nomination would fall upon their own favorite, or upon any other person in their estimation more meritorious than the one rejected. Thus it could hardly happen, that the majority of the Senate would feel any other complacency towards the object of an appointment than such as the appearances of merit might inspire, and the proofs of the want of it destroy.

Friday, October 14, 2005

Oops! David Frum Needs Miers-like Help

Poor David Frum. After intimating that Harriet Miers has a second rate mind because she corrected spelling, grammar and punctuation on memos that passed through her hands on to the President, Frum had a grammar and punctuation error of his own. His online petition against Miers needed a Miers-type to correct the error.

Tip of the hat to George Berryman III and the Alamonation blog.

Revisiting the Religious Test Argument

Someone as normally clear-headed as Tony Perkins of the Family Research Council is now saying that the White House talking positively about Harriet Miers' faith and commitment is like promoting a religious pre-test and encourages senatorial inquiry into how that faith will impact the nominee's decisions.

In a posting "No Religious Pre-Test Either" he writes:

We scored liberal Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee, and their interest group allies, for making comments and inferences about the fitness for office of Bush nominees because of their "deeply held personal beliefs." We argued then, and believe now, that this language was code for the Democrats' objections to any judicial nominee of orthodox religious conviction. We pressed the Democrats not to go down this path, and on the nomination of Judge Roberts, not to mention the stopping of filibusters against key appellate nominees, the Democrats largely avoided anything that smacked of a religious test.

The same must be said now for advocacy of Harriet Miers. We are the last people on earth to object to the news that she is a committed Christian; the Good News is, above all, great news for her. And we reiterate, this fact about her is neither grounds for objection nor a fit object for examination by the Senate. By the same token, this fact is not grounds for certifying her to us or to the public. It's not just that religious conviction is an unreliable indicator of a judicial philosophy (though it clearly is), it's that inferences drawn from an individual's religious affiliation have no place in decisions to nominate or confirm a judicial appointee. Religious convictions do find their way appropriately into the law when they undergird and inspire norms of justice, as they have always done in the American experience. But that is not the same thing as drawing conclusions about a judge's potential rulings based on their personal faith. On that point, the question should not be asked nor should it be answered.

Tony Perkins is sliding down the slippery slope of saying that bringing up religious faith and commitment is the same as requiring or imposing it. How else would we know that Harriet Miers has a deep religious faith (or that the President admires deep religious faith) unless they brought it up? To admire is not to require.

Perkins himself in the same post above faults Barry Lynn for suggesting that President Bush's desire to find judicial nominees who believe "our rights are derived from God" is a religious litmus test. Actually, that comes closer to a religious test than admiring Harriet Miers for having religious commitment and integrity. But Perkins does not seem to see the inconsistency in his back-to-back statements.

If the tradeoff is that either we (and one supposes the nominee) are not allowed to speak of the nominee's religious faith or it becomes a legitimate part of governmental inquiry, we have struck a body blow to the First Amendment and Article VI of the Constitution.

Tony Perkins and others like him advancing this argument are encouraging more and more "stealth" candidates--candidates who let no deep convictions show up in their life--especially religious convictions. To ask nominees or their supporters to hide religious commitment is to wander along the road of another kind of religious "pre-test".

Thursday, October 13, 2005

Phyllis Schlafly Waves Bye Bye to Ann Coulter: Childless--A New Standard to Measure Competence

I hope Phyllis Schlafly was wildly misquoted in this 10/5/2005 CBS news story:

"Eagle Forum president Phyllis Schlafly told CBS News that the nomination is a 'tragic disappointment' and a 'huge mistake.' Schlafly said 'Bush blew it. Miers is a female Souter, a childless appointee and a blank slate.'"

If having a child is a new measure of competence, bye bye Ann Coulter, not to mention Rush Limbaugh. Or, one could build on that and say that poor Janice Rogers Brown, with only one child, should be at the bottom of the Supreme Court competence list and Judge Diarmuid F. O'Scannlain, with eight children, should be at the top.

By the way, I agree with David Reinhard that O'Scannlain would be a great pick. But not due to the number of children he has fathered.

Mrs. Schlafly's comments are just another indication of how emotional and irrational the discussion on this nominee has become.

Wednesday, October 12, 2005

A View from the Top: Richard Brookhiser on Reagan and Miers

In a column for the 10/17/05 New York Observer, Richard Brookhiser writes:

"Conservative defenders of the Miers pick attribute such violent and visceral reactions to snobbery: Our wise President is being second-guessed by a bunch of Beltway elitists and Ivy Leaguers who disdain the horny-handed daughter of toil nurtured at Southern Methodist University. But this charge is boob bait. Many leaders come from nowhere before rising to the top. Ronald Reagan went to Eureka College; Richard Nixon went to Whittier College; Abraham Lincoln went to no college. Ms. Miers had as many advantages as these men, or more. She only has fewer achievements."

The last sentence is a great one-liner. I'm sure those who sneered at the actor Reagan running for president would have loved the line. "Richard Nixon went to Whittier College; Abraham Lincoln went to no college. Mr. Reagan had as many advantages as these men, or more. He only has fewer achievements." Too bad for Mr. Reagan's detractors that Mr. Brookhiser at the time was a young supporter of RR and might have viewed that kind of comparison as using a sneer instead of argument.

How sad to become like one's opponents.

Even sadder that though this fight on the Miers' nomination is a true indication of the real diversity among conservatives, it is also a harbinger of political fracturing. If this nomination goes down, what are the chances of railing at "moderate" Republican senators if they choose not to support a more conservative judicial candidate?

Oregon's Republican senator is a good man, and it took some courage for him to vote from a blue state for Rice and especially for Bolton. How am I going to have any credibility in urging him to go against the majority of his constituency and vote for the President's future nominations? It will be tough with the Miers' episode in our back pocket.

Tuesday, October 11, 2005

Is it hypocritical to be against a religious test and yet admire a nominee's religious commitment?

In his October 7th column, E. J. Dionne joins Ed Morrisey of the Captain's Quarters blog in saying that it is:

1) hypocrital to insist that a nominee not be questioned on personal religious views because it would be a religious test


2) use what is known about the nominee's religious convictions as a positive argument to energize public opinion for confirmation.

Let's follow the reasoning on that by changing the central parameter to another legal prohibition. It is illegal to have a racial (or gender) standard for political or judicial office. Thus, one's race or gender is not to be considered as an impediment or help to holding office or a basis for asking questions of a nominee. But, is the admiration expressed for Colin Powell, Condi Rice or Janice Rogers Brown hypocritical in noting their race (and gender in the case of Rice and Brown)? I don't think so. In fact, I think there is appropriate pride in those who have broken glass ceilings to move to the top in governmental and judicial positions.

It is not hypocritical to mention race, gender or religion as a positive factor in appealing for public support. That does not change the fact that such factors must never be used as an official, governmental standard and subject to official questioning.

Monday, October 10, 2005

Harriet Miers and Her Critics

I think some of the major conservative commentators have left their base. I don't mean their readers or listeners. I mean the vast majority of the 62 million people who voted for George Bush.

Some of the criticism of Harriet Miers is, well, just plain petty.

She is only 1 of a million lawyers in this country. What makes her so special? (Charles Krauthammer) Maybe that she headed a major Texas legal firm successfully, or was the first woman head of the Texas bar, or is the trusted counsel for the President of the U.S. How many of the other 1 million can claim anything even close to those credentials? How many of her critics have done half as much? Yet there is sneering at her success as the basis for a "joke" nomination.

Then there's the innuendo that she is small minded because she corrected punctuation, grammar, and spelling on memos sent to the president. (David Frum - 10/6/05 CSPAN Washington Journal interview) This reminds me of the criticism of John Bolton for having demonstrated his anger by the intimidating gesture of putting his hands on his hips! Who thinks such a criticism is even worthy of being brought up? Harriet Miers is a detail person, which is undoubtedly one of the reasons she was successful in running a major business operation (as Beldar points out) and certainly was a factor in making her a successful practicing lawyer. Anyone who has gone to law school knows that getting the details (facts) right are the basis for any possibility of arguing the merits of a case--whether it's property law or constitutional law you are dealing with. To pooh-pooh attention to detail is not to understand the law.

Then there's the I-and-my-friends-didn't-think-of-her-so-why-should-the-President? criticism. (Charles Krauthammer, David Frum) Uh, maybe because Article II of the Constitution gives him that responsibility. If you think he makes bad choices, you shouldn't have elected him president. But the idea that the same senators who approved Justices Ginsburg and Breyer should reject Harriet Miers because she wasn't on somebody else's short list is ludicrous. (Thanks to Hugh Hewitt for pointing this out on his radio show.) One might well wonder if these commentators have even read the Constitution. But, they obviously have and for some reason have substituted "advice and consent of the Senate" with advice and consent of his political base--or, more accurately those pundits who presume to speak for his political base.

Which brings me back to my original point. I think most of the 62 million who voted for George Bush do not want a Supreme Court made up of judicial nerds who know lots of court case details and not much about real life. (Ann Coulter) I think they want judges who understand real life problems, have compassion, and can read the laws and Constitution and interpret them fairly. In fact judges have a bad name for lots of people in the base because they often let the guilty go free to prey on the innocent again, don't have a common sense understanding of eminent domain, and have problems figuring out if the Ten Commandments can be legally displayed in courtrooms. For most of the base these are no-brainer issues. We need people on the court who can cut to the chase. If it's your case being judged, would you list as one of your top ten desired attributes that you want a legal nerd hearing your case? Not me.

I don't like the petty carping of some conservative pundits--even though I admire and have learned from the commentary of those quoted above. I think it's demeaning to Harriet Miers and to the conservative movement.

The main problem is that no one knows enough about Harriet Miers to give substantive criticism. The main facts known about her are that she has been very successful personally and professionally in many different roles. So, her critics are reduced to trying to demean her and reduce the impact of her success. That's not nice, and it's not very flattering to people whose business is to communicate substantive issues and sell people on conservative values. Nit-picking and attack by innuendo are not conservative values. And, in fact, they are what has put the liberals in so much electoral trouble. Let's not take a page from their book.

I don't know much about Harriet Miers either. But, I like that she has been successful in a lot of different roles that require insight and the ability to express a case convincingly. I also like that people who know her like her and trust her. I think that sort of person can make a first-rate justice. I don't know whether she will be first-rate or not. But sneering and nit-picking is not the way to find that out or to enliven the base.